Class AAA Boys Individual Event Predictions

100 M	1.  Breece Hoff		Capital
	2.  Zion Stanard	Spring Mills
	3.  Justin Levelle	Wheeling Park
	4.  Cole Burd		Cabell Midland
	5.  Zilan Williams	Spring Mills
	6.  Niyjere Smith	Hedgesville
This was really tough.  Hoff is the only one with multiple runs under 11.1 seconds.  Stanard is
the only other one who has been under 11.1.  Levelle has a full series of runs under 11.3.  Burd
has 5 runs under 11.25.  Williams had two exceptional regional runs as did Smith.

200 M	1.  Breece Hoff		Capital
	2.  Torrence Walker	Wheeling Park
	3.  Zilan Williams	Spring Mills
	4.  Cole Burd		Cabell Midland
	5.  Tyler Moler		Parkersburg
	6.  Justin Levelle	Wheeling Park
I changed these several times as I was doing them.  I may change them again as I type this.  Yes,
I've changed twice already while typing.  I dropped Hoff into the top slot as he has the top time.
When he ran that time, though, he didn't run the relays, and he didn't go under 23 at his Regional.
But he wasn't challenged in his regional.  I put Walker into the 2nd spot based on Regional performance.
Williams has the 3rd best time in the group and won't have ran the relays.  Burd has more runs under
23 seconds than anyone else in the field.  Moler has been 22.80 or better in each of the last two meets.
Levelle has been consistently fast all year and beat Walker at the OVAC Championships.  

400 M	1.  Kobe O'Niel		Spring Mills
	2.  Jacob Michael	Spring Mills
	3.  Justin Sexton	Greenbrier East
	4.  Trevor Carson	Riverside
	5.  Zed Maher		Musselman
	6.  Ethan Rutherford	Parkersburg
O'Niel is the only one in the field to have gone under 50 seconds, and he just missed it another time.
He's also the only one with 3 runs under 51 seconds.  Michael is the only other one in the field with
a pair of runs under 51 seconds.  Sexton has the 2nd best top time.  Carson has the 2nd best overall
series of times and beat Sexton at the Gazette Relays, but Sexton won the Regional matchup.  Maher is
the only other one to have gone under 52 seconds.  Rutherford has the next best top time and the next
best series.

800 M	1.  Trevor Carson	Riverside
	2.  Chris Barbera	Woodrow Wilson
	3.  Kobe O'Niel		Spring Mills
	4.  Jacob Birurakis	George Washington
	5.  Brett Armbruster	Cabell Midland
	6.  Anthony Bradford	Parkersburg
With 7 that have gone under 2:00 and 9 under 2:01, this could be a lot of fun.  I gave Carson the nod
over Barbera despite Barbera having the better time and winning the Regional matchup.  Barbera didn't
have to work the mile at the Regional, and he will at the State Meet.  He's only done two meets, and 
hasn't completed two hard runs in either of them.  I don't really know what to expect.  Carson also 
has 5 runs under 1:59.  I don't think we'll get a bad race out of him.  O'Niel hasn't been under 2:00, 
but he was 3rd last year and certainly has the potential to win it.  Birurakis has a pair of runs under
1:59, one of which came after a hard mile at the Gazette Relays, so he's shown that he can bounce
back.  Armbruster has been under 2:00 and will have the benefit of having not ran the 1600 earlier.
Bradford has a similar resume.  

1600 M	1.  Chris Barbera	Woodrow Wilson
	2.  Jacob Birurakis	George Washington
	3.  Josh Edwards	University
	4.  Wyatt Hanshaw	Hurricane
	5.  Ronnie Saunders	Wheeling Park
	6.  Cole Friend		Preston
Barbera has only ran it hard once, and he dropped a 4:22 and edged Birurakis at the Gazette Relays.
Birurakis nipped Edwards at the Sheetz Invitational way back in late March with both running faster
than what Barbera ran at the Gazette Relays.  Edwards barely qualified, though, with a rough Regional
run.  Hanshaw has 3 runs in the 4:27s.  I moved Saunders up to 5th...because it's Saunders.  He ran a
4:30 in mid-April and tends to perform very well in State Meets.  Friend dropped a 4:28 at the Morgantown
Invitational in early April.  I consider these 3 pretty interchangeable.

3200 M	1.  Josh Edwards	University
	2.  Ronnie Saunders	Wheeling Park
	3.  Chris Barbera	Woodrow Wilson
	4.  Jacob Birurakis	George Washington
	5.  Cole Friend		Preston
	6.  Benjamin Lake	Parkersburg
Edwards has the top time in the field by almost 14 seconds.  That along with his indoor performances
are enough to put him at the top.  However, he's had a lot of people to push him along the way in
those meets.  It remains to be seen if he can run that type of time without that external push.  If
he can't, then others stay in striking distance, and things get murky.  Saunders showed how he can
close at the State Cross Country meet.  Barbera has only completed the event once and didn't run it
hard.  I really have no idea of his conditioning level, but I hate to place him any lower than this
because it won't surprise me a bit if he wins it.  Birurakis gets the shaft in this set of picks as
the only one in the field with a pair of runs under 9:40 and the 2nd best overall time.  Friend has
the next best time and a history of good State Meet performances.  Lake has the 6th best top time
and is one of just 4 in the field with 3 runs under 10:00.

110 HH	1.  Micah Hancock	Woodrow Wilson
	2.  Aaron Kupfner	Parkersburg
	3.  Oliver French	Hedgesville
	4.  Haden McConnell	Parkersburg South
	5.  Chelo Teneval	Martinsburg
	6.  Bryce Morris	Cabell Midland
Hancock has the only sub-15 run in the field and 3 runs under 15:30.  Kupfner has the most runs under
15.40 of anyone in the field.  French had an excellent Regional run that was the 2nd best top time in
the field.  McConnell knocked off Kupfner at the Regional and was 4th last year.  Teneval has four runs
under 16 seconds.  Morris only ran the event at the Regional and clocked strong times on both runs.

300 IH	1.  Stevie Ball		Cabell Midland
	2.  Karrington Hill	Capital
	3.  Aron Harmison	Hedgesville
	4.  Azim Turakhonov	Morgantown
	5.  Jacob Michael	Spring Mills
	6.  Kobe O'Niel		Spring Mills
Ball is the only one to have been under 41 seconds and has the best series of the bunch.  Hill has the
2nd best series and 3rd best top time.  He'll be in the unenviable position of lane 8, though.  Harmison
has the 2nd best top 3 and 3 runs under 42 seconds, but he'll be in the unenviable position of lane 1.
In 8, you don't know where anyone else is.  In 1, you have that stupid rail.  Turakhonov gets the nod
over Michael for 4th basically because he won't have ran the 400 and Michael will.  O'Niel gets the 6th 
spot on potential.  He's only done the event 3 times.  A top 3 is certainly not out of the question,
but I also entertain the notion that he could scratch the event and move to the 4x800.


4x100 M	1.  Wheeling Park
	2.  Capital
	3.  Spring Valley
	4.  Morgantown
	5.  Martinsburg
	6.  Musselman
There are some moving parts here.  Wheeling Park has far and away the best time, leading the field by 
over a second.  Capital went 44.56 without Malcolm Fletcher.  I don't know if he'll be available for
the State Meet or not.  It appears that he pulled up in the 100 trials at the Regional, but I don't know
the extent of the injury or the prognosis for return.  If he's back, they're probably pretty solidly
in 2nd.  If he's not...well...they still have the 2nd best time in the field.  Spring Valley has the
next best time in the field.  Morgantown only had the 8th best Regional run.  This is one of the moving
parts.  They were missing Quin Thompson at the Regional.  I have no idea of his status.  They ran 44.60
with him in mid-April.  I'm taking the shot that he'll be back.  If he's not, they probably don't place.
I moved Martinsburg into the 5th spot thinking that perhaps Cheno Teneval moves onto this relay.  He can
move to two of the 4x100, 4x200, and 4x400.  I have absolutely no feel for where he goes, and it's possible
that he doesn't help these relays.  Musselman had the 3rd best regional run in the field.

4x200 M	1.  Wheeling Park
	2.  Capital
	3.  Musselman
	4.  Cabell Midland
	5.  Martinsburg
	6.  Morgantown
Wheeling Park has the top time in the field.  Capital was just 0.27 slower than them at the Regional without
Malcolm Fletcher.  If he's back, the become the favorite to win it.  Musselman has the 2nd best time in the
field, just 0.03 off Wheeling Park.  They could very well win it as well.  I moved Cabell Midland up to 4th.
They can add Cole Burd to their unit, which should help quite a bit.  Martinsburg again will have the option
to add Cheno Teneval.  Like in the 4x100, Morgantown was without Quin Thompson at the Regional.  With him,
they have the 4th best time in the field, so I'm a little afraid to leave them out.

4x400 M	1.  Spring Mills
	2.  Wheeling Park
	3.  Cabell Midland
	4.  Jefferson
	5.  Martinsburg
	6.  Parkersburg
I always look at potential in the 4x400 and 4x800.  I'm often wrong...about what teams can do and about
who the'll use.  That being said, I don't think anyone can run with Spring Mills.  I have them 4 seconds 
ahead of the field with a possibility of going 3:24.  I have Wheeling Park next in line with Cabell Midland
right on their heels.  It gets really messy after them, and I weigh the potential against achieved 
performance.  I moved Jefferson up to fourth as they had the 5th best time and can add Robert Fogleson to
their unit.  Of course, I moved them in ahead of Martinsburg...who could add Chelo Teneval.  Again, he
can go onto two of the three relays.  I dropped Parkersburg into the 6th slot.  However, I have them with
the potential to be faster than Jefferson or Martinsburg.  I have all 3 at 3:31 or 3:32.  I have Musselman
and Riverside in that range as well, so I think it's going to be very tight for the last few spots.

4x800 M	1.  Parkersburg
	2.  Cabell Midland
	3.  Unviersity
	4.  Wheeling Park
	5.  Morgantown
	6.  Musselman
Parkersburg is the only one I have going under 8:10, which means that 3 or 4 of them probably will.  I have
the next 3 within 1 second of each other.  I have the nod to Midland on a slightly higher upside.  University
has the top time in the field.  Wheeling Park matches them on potential but just hasn't quite been where 
University has been yet.  Morgantown only has the 8th best time in the field, but has sub-8:20 potential.
Musselman has an 8:22 on the books, the 4th best time in the field.  There are a couple wildcards in this
event as well.  Spring Mills could pull Kobe O'Niel from the 300 Hurdles and add him to this, and I think 
that puts them ahead of Morgantown if they do it.  Will they do it for 2 points?  I don't know.  Woodrow 
Wilson is another wildcard.  With Chris Barbera sitting in the wings, I think they can run in the 8:20 range
if they fully load and run well.  George Washington looks like they could be in the Musselman range if they
fully load.  But I won't be surprised if none of those three make those moves.  Spring Mills could roll the
dice on O'Niel scoring a top 3 in the 300's and the other two may keep their guys out to save them for a 
tough 3200 Friday night.

Shuttle	1.  Hedgesville
	2.  Woodrow Wilson
	3.  Martinsburg
	4.  Cabell Midland
	5.  Parkersburg South
	6.  Musselman
Hedgesville has the top time in the field by over a second.  Woodrow Wilson has the next best time and the
next best series.  Martinsburg is the only other team to have a pair of runs under 60 seconds.  Cabell 
Midland was faster than Martinsburg at their respective regionals, as was Parkersburg South as those two
are the only other ones to have been under 60 seconds.  Musselman easily has the next best time.

H Jump	1.  Jaylen Snyder	Hurricane
	2.  Andrew Ball		Spring Valley
	3.  Christian Henderson	Spring Mills
	4.  Ty Sturm		Cabell Midland
	5.  Oliver French	Hedgesville
	6.  Jordan Nicely	Hurricane
Snyder has the top jump, the best series, and is the defending champion.  Ball has a pair of 6'6 jumps
to his credit.  Henderson has 3 leaps of 6'4, but none since mid-April.  Sturm was one of just three to
get 6'2 at his regional and beat Ball at the regional.  French has four 6'0 jumps and was 3rd last year.  
Nicely got 6'0 at his regional and has a pair of other 6'0 jumps on the season.

P Vault	1.  Evan King		Ripley	
	2.  Steven Eaton	St. Albans
	3.  Christian Sorge	Wheeling Park
	4.  Christian Call	Hurricane
	5.  Caleb Banton	Ripley
	6.  Conor Wogan		Washington
King has the only 14'0 vaults in the field with a 14'6 in March and a 14'0 at the Regional.  Eaton has a
13'6 and a pair of 13'0 vaults.  Sorge has topped 13'0 four times.  Call has a trio of 12'6 vaults.
Banton has a 13'0 and a 12'6 but hasn't been as consistent.  Wogan has 12'6 vault and at least four
12'0 vaults.

L Jump	1.  Jaylen Snyder	Hurricane
	2.  Sheldon Everhart	Hedgesville
	3.  Matt Vanduzer	Martinsburg
	4.  Oliver French	Hedgesville
	5.  Tyson Hall		Spring Valley
	6.  Christian Henderson	Spring Mills
Snyder has the only 22' jumps in the field, and he has 3 of them, including one over 23'0.  He's also
the defending champion.  Everhart had the best regional jump in the field and has three over 21'.  
Vanduzer has a pair of jumps over 21' and four that are 20'7 or better.  French has a 21'9 jump and
five over 20'3.  Tyson Hall beat Snyder at the regional and has three jumps over 20'5.  Henderson
has the last 21' jump in the field and five that are at least 20'0.

Shot	1.  Gavin Beverage	Cabell Midland
	2.  Doug Nester		Spring Valley
	3.  John Hicks		Hampshire
	4.  Quinton Runge	Spring Mills
	5.  Jermain Snodgrass	Wheeling Park
	6.  Shane Miller	Parkersburg
Beverage is far and away the favorite.  His top throw beats everyone else by over 10'.  His 5th best
throw is 9' better than anyone else's best.  Nester has three throws over 53' and five over 50'.  Hicks
has a pair over 51' and three over 50'.  Runge has a pair over 50'.  Snodgrass has three over 48' and
launched one 53' last year for 2nd.  Miller has three over 46'.

Discus	1.  John Hicks		Hampshire
	2.  Gavin Beverage	Cabell Midland
	3.  Doug Nester		Spring Valley
	4.  Shane Miller	Parkersburg
	5.  E.J. Heathe		Hedgesville
	6.  Quinton Runge	Spring Mills
Hicks set an all-time State Best earlier this year with a 190'1 toss.  He has another effort over 180'.
Despite that, this event isn't a given.  Beverage has thrown over 170' twice, and the 3rd best throw
for each is less than 4' apart.  Hicks is clearly the favorite, but he's not completely safe.  Nester
sailed one 165' and anotehr 159' and has four over 151'.  No one else in the field has hit 150'.  Miller
is the only other one to have even hit 140' twice.  Heath has a better top throw than Miller.  Runge only
has the 8th best top throw but has been more consistent with four throws over 135'.

High Point Predictions
1.  Breece Hoff		Capital			24
1.  Chris Barbera	Woodrow Wilson		24
3.  Jaylen Snyder	Hurricane		20
4.  Kobe O'Niel		Spring Mills		19.50
5.  Gavin Beverage	Cabell Midland		18