RunWV Predictions
Teams

The state meet predictions are based on results have gathered throughout the season, head-to-head competitions, regional results, perceived potential, trends and (of course) gut feeling.

AAA Boys Team Predictions
1.  Hurricane           51
2.  Huntington          50
3.  Spring Mills        37
4.  Parkersburg South   36
4.  Woodrow Wilson      36
6.  Capital             35
7.  Parkersburg         29
8.  Martinsburg         27
9.  Cabell Midland      24
10. Hedgesville         21
11. George Washington   20
11. Washington          20
13. Greenbrier East     18
14. Brooke              16
14. Hampshire           16
14. St. Albans          16
17. Spring Valley       15
18. Morgantown          14
18. Preston             14
20. Riverside           13
21. Ripley              12
22. Jefferson           11
22. Wheeling Park       11
24. South Charleston    10
25. Musselman            6
This is a far cry from last year when I had the top to at 99 and 73 points.  The
points are very widespread this year.  If someone can pull off 60, they'll almost
assuredly win, and there is a distinct possibility that no one hits 50 points.  
With the low projected point totals, it's really wide open, and there are plenty 
of opportunities for teams to move into championship position.


AAA Girls Team Predictions
1.  Ripley                73
2.  Morgantown            47
3.  Wheeling Park         41
4.  Jefferson             40
5.  Hurricane             37
5.  Parkersburg           37
7.  Spring Mills          36
7.  Woodrow Wilson        36
9.  University            23
10. St. Albans            22
11. Hampshire             20
12. Hedgesville           19
13. Musselman             18
14. George Washington     17
15. Martinsburg           15
16. Capital               14
16. John Marshall         14
18. Huntington            11
19. Washington            10
20. Cabell Midland         9
21. Brooke                 8
22. Spring Valley          4
23. Parkersburg South      3
24. Buckhannon-Upshur      2
24. Preston                2
I'm surprised by the margin.  This makes Ripley a pretty prohibitive favorite, but
as with last year, they're pretty much topped out with 5 first place picks and 2 
second place picks.  Morgantown has upward mobility as they only have 1 first 
place pick.  But it will probably need to be a combination of them outperforming
and Ripley slipping up somewhere for Morgantown to take it.  Some other have 
point potential as well, but you're starting to get into 30-plus point gaps at
that point.  That's asking a lot.


AA Boys Team Predictions
1.  Bridgeport           98
2.  Winfield             95
3.  Weir                 64
4.  Roane                53
5.  Fairmont Senior      37
6.  Robert C. Byrd       32
7.  Oak Glen             25
8.  Shady Spring         22
9.  Lewis                17
9.  Oak Hill             17
11. Wyoming East         16
12. Keyser               15
13. East Fairmont        13
14. Nitro                12
15. Philip Barbour        9
16. Point Pleasant        8
17. North Marion          6
17. PikeView              6
19. Independence          4
20. Nicholas              3
21. Frankfort             2
21. Lincoln               2
23. Berkeley Springs      1
23. Bluefield             1
Well this turned out a lot closer than I thought.  It's going to be quite a battle
as there will be a number of head-to-head matchups that can swing this either way.
Particular attention should be paid to the 4x100 and 4x200.  I have these two 
going 2-3 in both with Bridgeport taking both.  Those go the other way, and it's
suddenly a 5 point Winfield advantage.  Even one of them go the other way, and
Winfield moves to the top.  Personnel maneuvers will play a role as well.  Weir
and Roane will likely be battling for the 3rd spot.  


AA Girls Team Predictions
1.  Bridgeport          151
2.  Winfield             82
3.  North Marion         35
3.  Oak Glen             35
5.  Shady Spring         32
6.  East Fairmont        30
7.  Fairmont Senior      24
8.  Philip Barbour       22
9.  Liberty Harrison	 18
10. Frankfort            17
11. Elkns                16
11. Scott                16
13. Point Pleasant       14
14. Roane                12
14. Lewis                 9
16. Berkeley Springs      8
16. Weir                  8
18. Mingo Central         6
18. Oak Hill              6
20. Keyser                4
20. Petersburg            4
22. Lincoln               3
23. Independence          2
23. Robert C. Byrd        2
25. James Monroe          1
25. Nicholas              1
Bridgeport comes in as an extremely heavy favorite.  They have power players, and
they have depth.  The dominance of the top two isn't quite as heavy as last year,
but I still have Winfield more than doubling the 3rd place team.  Winfield has
some upward mobility, but they'd have to have a blowout meet and have Bridgeport
slip up in a few places to make it interesting. I have four teams within 5 points
in the battle for 3rd.


A Boys Team Predictions
1.  St. Marys            74
2.  Doddridge            68
3.  Magnolia             67
4.  South Harrison       52
5.  Ravenswood           51
6.  Tucker               31
7.  Webster              30
8.  Ritchie              23
8.  Sherman              23
8.  Tyler Consolidated   23
11. Wheeling Central     18
12. Madonna              17
12. Williamstown         17
14. Clay-Battelle        15
15. Summers              12
16. Gilmer                8
16. Pendleton             8
18. East Hardy            6
19. Moorefield            4
20. Cameron               3
21. Calhoun               2
21. Richwood              2
21. Tygarts Valley        2
24. Tolsia                1
24. Wirt                  1
This is most definitely a three team race.  I have St. Marys coming out on top,
but it's a tenuous spot.  It could be somewhat dependent on the health of Zac
Long.  He re-tweaked a hamstring injury at the Regional and his status is unknown
for this weekend.  I did the picks as though he was running, but maybe not 100%.
There will be a number of races where head-to-head duels could make important
swings in the standings.  This should be a fun team race regardless.  I don't 
think anyone outside these three really has a shot to win it.  They could climb 
into the top 3 on a bad meet from one of these teams, but all 3 aren't going to 
blow up.  South Harrison and Ravenswood should fight it out for 3rd.


A Girls Team Predictions
1.  Williamstown           90
2.  Doddridge              87
3.  Wheeling Central       65
4.  Charleston Catholic    64
5.  Buffalo                46
6.  Clay-Battelle          27
7.  Tucker                 26
8.  Gilmer                 20
9.  Ritchie                17
10. St. Joseph             16
11. South Harrison         14
12. Magnolia               12
12. Trinity                12
14. Parkersburg Catholic    8
14. Summers                 8
16. Hundred                 7
16. St. Marys               7
18. Notre Dame              6
18. Paden City              6
20. East Hardy              5
21. Tyler Consolidated      4
22. Pocahontas              2
22. Union                   2
22. Valley Wetzel           2
25. Cameron                 1
25. Midland Trail           1
25. Moorefield              1
25. Richwood                1
25. Wirt                    1
This should be another great team race.  The points don't necessarily show it,
but any of these top 4 could take the title.  I have Williamstown taking the
top spot after making some assumed moves.  There are a lot of close events in
this meet that can go any number of ways.  Buffalo could sneak into the top 4
with a strong meet or a little dip from one of the others.