Class AA Girls Individual Event Predictions

100 M	1.  McKenna Smith	Bridgeport
	2.  Isabella Bowen	Bridgeport
	3.  Carly Hinkle	Winfield
	4.  Tyra Joplin		Mingo Central
	5.  Josie Rhodes	Liberty Harrison
	6.  Josie Raines	Roane
Smith has the top time in the field by over 0.7 seconds.  Her 5th best time is over
0.5 seconds ahead of anyone else's best.  She just missed a new All-Time Best at the
Regional meet.  Bowen easily has the next best time and series with her 5th best run
being faster than anyone else's best.  Hinkle has three runs under 13 seconds.  Joplin
has the 4th best top time and was 2nd last year.  Rhodes also has 3 runs under 13
seconds.  Raines has a pair of runs under 13 secons.  7 in the field have gone under
13 seconds.  9 have been under 13.15.

200 M	1.  McKenna Smith	Bridgeport
	2.  Isabella Bowen	Bridgeport
	3.  Reagan Hefner	Shady Spring
	4.  Lauryn Bady		Winfield
	5.  Josie Raines	Roane
	6.  Catie Wilson	Bridgeport
Smith is again the calss of the field with a top time over 1.7 seconds ahead of
anyone else.  Bowen has the 2nd best top time and easily the next best series.  
Hefner's top time is just 0.01 off Bowen, and she has a pair of runs under 26.50.
Bady has 3 runs under 27 seconds.  Raines has a pair of runs under 27 seconds and
was runner up last year.  Wilson doesn't have the next best time, but she has been
under 27.50 four times while no one else has done it more than twice.  6 in the
field have been under 27.  12 have been under 27.50.
 
400 M	1.  McKenna Smith	Bridgeport
	2.  Isabella Bowen	Bridgeport
	3.  Eve Hine		North Marion
	4.  Caroline Fodor	Weir
	5.  Elizabeth Adkins	Shady Spring
	6.  Josie Raines	Roane
Smith is over 2.5 seconds ahead of the field has 4 runs under 58 seconds.  Bowen
has the next best time and has three runs under 60 seconds.  Hine is the only other
one in the field to have gone under 60 seconds, and she has 3 runs under 61.  Fodor
has 5 runs under 62.  Adkins has a pair of runs under 62.  Raines has the 4th best
top time in the field, but her Regional run wasn't nearly as good, and she'll have to 
compete from the first heat.  There's also a fair chance that she moves from this
event into a relay.  For the record, Grace Cole is next on my list.  8 have been
under 62, and 12 have been under 62.50.

800 M	1.  Kalei Jordan	Winfield
	2.  Grace Cole		Winfield
	3.  Julia Muller	Bridgeport
	4.  Isabella Robinson	Winfield
	5.  Emily Louk		Lewis
	6.  Maya Brinson	Fairmont Senior
Jordan has the top time n the field.  Cole has the best series in the field and
finished 5th in the AAA Division last year.   Muller is one of just two with a full
series of sub-2:30 runs.  Robinson is the other.  Louk has only been under 2:30
once, but it was the same situation last year, and she ran a 2:21 to finish 4th in
the AAA Division.  I can't leave her out.  Brinson has 3 under 2:30.  7 in the field
have gone under 2:30.  13 have been under 2:34.
 
1600 M	1.  Jessica Melvin	Philip Barbour
	2.  Julia Muller	Bridgeport
	3.  Emily Louk		Lewis
	4.  Alyssa Rittinger	Winfield
	5.  Anna Lumadue	Winfield
	6.  Kalei Jordan	Winfield
This one is really tough.  The top 11 aare separated by just 8 seconds.  I went
with Melvin because she always seems to come through in the big meets with big times.
Muller has the top time in the field and is one of just two with a pair of runs
under 5:30 and easily has the best series in the field with 5 runs under 5:32.  
Louk is the other that has been under 5:30 twice.  Rittinger has the 3rd best top
time in the field.  Lumadue has the next best time and series.  Jordan has the 7th
best time in the field and has only ran the event twice, but she has the speed to
win it.  It's also possible that she gets pulled from this event and moved to the
4x800.  For the record, I have Stephanie Golden next in line.  Only 3 in the field
have been under 5:30, but it may take under that to place.  8 have been under 5:34.
11 have been under 5:37.

3200 M	1.  Jessica Melvin	Philip Barbour
	2.  Amanda Lupton	Berkeley Springs
	3.  Kyleena Purvis	Keyser
	4.  Julia Muller	Bridgeport
	5.  Alyssa Rittinger	Winfield
	6.  Kierra Hodge	Philip Barbour
Melvin has the top time in the field and is the only one with four runs under 12:00.
Lupton won the Regional matchup and has three runs under 12:00.  Purvis has been
under 11:55 in each of her last three meets and beat Melvin at the Regional.  Muller
has the 4th best time in the field, but it's her only run under 12:00.  Rittinger
has apair of runs under 12:00.  Hodge has the next best time in the field.  7 have
been under 12:00.  8 have been under 12:05.

100 HH	1.  Mary Lawman		Winfield
	2.  Erica Hegele	Shady Spring
	3.  Lauryn Bady		Winfield
	4.  Hannah McKown	Roane
	5.  Emily Meade		Bridgeport
	6.  Hanah Gordon	North Marion
Lawman has the best series in the field and finished 4th in a stellar field last
year in the AAA Division.  Hegele has a better top time than Lawman, but Lawman
is ahead easily on the next four positions.  Bady is the only other one to have
been under 16 seconds, which she's done twice.  Everyone else is at least 0.7 seconds
behind.  McKown has three runs under 16.60.  Meade has the 6th best time, but has
only been under 17 seconds once, but she seems to be getting better each time she
runs.  Gordon is one of just four with 5 runs under 17 seconds.  9 in the field have
been under 17 seconds.  12 have been under 17.15.

300 LH	1.  McKenna Smith	Bridgeport
	2.  Erica Hegele	Shady Spring
	3.  Taryn Napier	Winfield
	4.  Emily Meade		Bridgeport
	5.  Dani Janutolo	Bluefield
	6.  Savannah Hoff	Winfield
Smith is again pretty solidly out front with a top time almost 1.7 seconds ahead
of the field.  Hegele easily has the next best time.  She's only done the event
three times this season, but each has been under 48.25.  Napier is the only other
one to have been under 48 seconds.  Meade has a pair of runs under 48.40.  Janutolo
has the next best time and is the only other one with a pair of runs under 49.  Hoff
has the next best time and has been showing continual improvement as the season winds
down.  Only these 6 have been under 49 seconds, but 10 have been under 49.50, and
13 have been under 50.

4x100 M	1.  Winfield
	2.  Bridgeport
	3.  North Marion
	4.  Lincoln
	5.  Elkins
	6.  Liberty Harrison
Winfield looks to have the strongest available group for this event.  Bridgeport
has a better top time, but that was using McKenna Smith, who will be busy likely
winning 4 individual events.  These two have a pretty strong gap on the field.  North
Marion is the only other team to have gone under 52 seconds.  Lincoln has the next
best time.  Elkins has the next best time and a stronger series than Lincoln.  Liberty
Harrison has the next best time.  Only these 6 have been under 53 seconds.  8 have
been under 53.50.

4x200 M	1.  Winfield
	2.  Bridgeport
	3.  North Marion
	4.  Elkins
	5.  Shady Spring
	6.  Liberty Harrison
Winfield again appears to have the depth to take this event.  Bridgeport again has
the top time, but again with people who won't be available for the event.  They could
conceivably move Isabella Bowen to this event from the 4x100 to try to win it.  North
Marion is the only other team to have gone under 1:50.  Elkins has the next best
series with a pair of runs under 1:51.2.  Shady Spring has a better top time than
Elkins by almost 0.6 seconds, but they'll have to do it from the first heat, and
the may not have anyone to push them at all from that heat unless Roane moves Josie
Raines to this event from the 400.  Liberty Harrison is the only other team to have
been under 1:52.  9 in the field have been under 1:53, and that doesn't include
Roane, who could contend for a top 4 if they make the move.

4x400 M	1.  Winfield
	2.  Bridgeport
	3.  Shady Spring
	4.  North Marion
	5.  Elkins
	6.  Oak Glen
This one ends up pretty close.  I have Winfield with a slightly better potential
than Bridgeport.  Again, Bridgeport would have the potential to add Bowen to this
group to try for the win.  I have Shady Spring within 1 second of Bridgeport. 
I have Elkins with a slightly better potential than North Marion, but North Marion
has been faster, so I went with them.  Oak Glen gets a slight edge for the 6th spot
as I have 6 teams within 3 seconds of each other for that position.

4x800 M	1.  Winfield
	2.  Bridgeport
	3.  Berkeley Springs
	4.  Lewis
	5.  Fairmont Senior
	6.  North Marion
I think Winfield can run under 9:50 without being fully loaded.  That's the joy of
having 4 of the top 7 times in the open 800.  Bridgeport only has the 4th best top
time, but I think they have the 2nd best potential, and after what they did to me
last year (didn't pick them to place and they won it in case you're keeping score),
I'm certainly giving them all the credit I can.  I think they're the only other team
than can go under 10:00.  I have Berkeley Springs with slightly better potential 
than Lewis.  Fairmont Senior can make things interesting in that battle for 3rd.
North Marion only has the 8th best time, but I think they can make some moves to
climb up to that 6th spot.  

Shuttle	1.  Winfield
	2.  Bridgeport
	3.  Keyser
	4.  Roane
	5.  Liberty Harrison
	6.  Petersburg
Winfield should run away with this.  Their top time is nearly 4 seconds better than
anyone else.  Bridgeport is the only other team to have been under 1:09, which they've
done twice.  Keyser is one of just two in the field with 3 runs under 1:10.
Roane has been under 1:10 in each of the last two meets, and this is the same unit
that ran under 1:09 in taking 3rd last year.  Liberty Harrison has a better top time
than Roane and just beat them at the Regional.  Petersburg has the next best time
and the next best series.  Only 5 have been under 1:10, but 8 have been under 1:11.

H Jump	1.  Carly Hinkle	Winfield
	2.  Nadia Legros	Nitro
	3.  Sami Saunders	Point Pleasant
	4.  Kristen Crowder	Bridgeport
	5.  Hayley Willey	Robert C. Byrd
	6.  Bethany Stern	Liberty Harrison
Hinkle has the top jump in the field at 5'8, which she's cleared 3 times.  Legros
has a 5'6 jump and three 5'4 jumps.  Saunders cleared 5'4 at her Regional and has
a pair of 5'2 jumps to go with it.  Crowder also cleared 5'4 at her Regional but
has just one 5'2 jump to support it.  Willey has a 5'4 jump and three 5'2 jumps but
only went 4'10 a the Regional (where Crowder was going 5'4), but then again, she did
place 2nd last year.  Stern has a 5'2 jump and three 5'0 jumps and beat Willey at 
the Regional.  8 in the field have cleared 5'0.

P Vault	1.  Shannon Riley	Winfield
	2.  Avory Albert	Winfield
	3.  Wylie Everly	Liberty Harrison
	4.  Hannah Gordon	North Marion
	5.  Sami Saunders	Point Pleasant
	6.  Jenna Love		Bridgeport
Riley has the top vault in the field at 10'9 and has five vaults of at least 10'3
while no one else has cleared 10'0.  Albert has four clearances of 9'6. Everly has
cleared 9'8 twice but hasn't cleared 9'6 as consistently as Albert.  Gordon has a
9'0 vault and a pair of 8'6 vaults.  Saunders is the only other one to have cleared
9'0, and she has improved each meet in which she's done the event.  Love is the only
other one to have cleared 8'6, which she has done 3 times.  10 in the field have
cleared 8'0.

L Jump	1.  Josie Raines	Roane
	2.  Mary Lawman		Winfield
	3.  Kalei Jordan	Winfield
	4.  Maggie Kovalcik	Oak Glen
	5.  Sydney Cavender	Winfield
	6.  Hannah Kincaid	Independence
Raines has the top jump in the field and is the only one with multiple jumps over
17'0, and she has 4 of them.  She is also the defending champion in the event.  Lawman 
only has the 3rd best jump and 3rd best series, but we're dealing with someone who 
jumped 17'6.25 at the State Meet in the AAA Division last year, a distance that was
further than Raines' winning jump.  Jordan has the 2nd best jump in the field and 
the 2nd best series.  Kovalcik is the only other one in the field to have topped 16'0, 
and she's done it three times.  Cavender easily has the next best series and jumped
16'9 in the AAA State Meet last year.  Kincaid only has the 9th best top jump and
the 7th best series, but she did just put down a solid jump at Laidley, so I'm giving
her the spot.  9 in the field have jumped 15'6.  12 have jumped 15'0.
 
Shot	1.  Aislyn Hayman	Point Pleasant
	2.  Kasey Neville	Philip Barbour
	3.  Presley Tuttle	North Marion
	4.  Mica Mathis		Wayne
	5.  Kayla Willison	Keyser
	6.  Brooke Burns	Scott
Hayman has the top throw in the field by over 3'.  She's the only one to have surpassed
40'0, which she's done at least five times.  Neville has the 2nd best top throw and
the 2nd best series.  Tuttle has the next best series.  Mathis has a better top throw
than Tuttle, but hasn't been quite as consistent.  Willison has the next best series
of throws.  Burns has a better top throw than Willison, but nearly her entire series
occurred on 4/21 or earlier.  However, she did win this event last year.  The top
6 have all thrown at least 35'0.  No one else has thrown over 33'6.  8 have thrown
at least 33'0.

Discus	1.  Aislyn Hayman	Point Pleasant
	2.  Kacey Neville	Philip Barbour
	3.  Makenna Layman	Keyser
	4.  Morgan Roush	Point Pleasant
	5.  Kylee Williams	Oak Glen
	6.  Madya McCullough	Bridgeport
Hayman has the top throw in the field by an amazing 40'4 with her top throw of 148'8.
She's topped 140' twice and 135'0 at least 5 times.  Neville gets the 2nd spot with
the next best throw and series.  Layman had the 2nd best Regional throw in the group
and is one of just 3 with four throws over 100'0.  Roush matches Neville's top throw
and has three total over 100'.  Williams has the next best top throw and 3 over 100'0.
McCullough has a pair of throws over 103'0.  10 in the field have thrown at least 103'0,
but only 5 have done it more than once, and only 2 have done it three times.


High Point Predictions
1.  McKenna Smith	Bridgeport		40
2.  Isabella Bowen	Bridgeport		34
3.  Mary Lawman		Winfield		23
4.  Carly Hinkle	Winfield		21
5.  Aislyn Haymen	Point Pleasnat		20
5.  Julia Muller	Bridgeport		20
5.  Jessica Melvin	Philip Barbour		20