Class A Boys Individual Event Predictions

100 M	1.  Casey Pingley	Valley Wetzel
	2.  Corey Aichele	Doddridge
	3.  Will Dobbins	Charleston Catholic
	4.  Jonathan Gore	Fayetteville
	5.  Joshua Parker	East Hardy
	6.  Ronald Swaniger	Clay-Battelle
Pingley has the top time and ran well at his Regional.  Aichele has the most runs under 11.60.
Dobbins may be a bit banged up since he only ran one event at the Regional.  I'm assuming he'll
be healthy.  Only 1 has been under 11.50.  6 have been under 11.60 (though only 4 have done it FAT).

200 M	1.  Michael Robinson	Charleston Catholic
	2.  Tanner Graham	Pocahontas
	3.  Jonathan Gore	Fayetteville
	4.  Derek Renner	St. Marys
	5.  Casey Pingley	Valley Wetzel
	6.  Corey Aichele	Doddridge
Robinson has 3 runs better than anyone else's best.  He's gone 23.02.  No one else has been under
23.35.  Two others have been under 23.40.  Two more have been under 23.60.  9 have been under 24.

400 M	1.  Derek Renner	St. Marys
	2.  Tanner Graham	Pocahontas
	3.  Daniel Plaugher	Doddridge
	4.  Issac Gaines	South Harrison
	5.  Carter Huffman	Wheeling Central
	6.  Zach Bennett	Richwood
Renner is the only one to have gone under 52, which he's done twice.  He has 3 runs better than anyone
else's best.  Graham has 5 runs under 53.  Plaugher is the only other one to have been under 53.
3 others have been under 54.

800 M	1.  Dominic Rich		Buffalo
	2.  Aaron Lockhart	Williamstown
	3.  Andrew Shaffer	Richwood
	4.  Charlie Drazba	St. Marys
	5.  Josh Quinn		Wirt
	6.  Jordan Whitehair	St. Marys
A year after it took under 2:02 to get in the top 5, a 2:04 is the best time coming in.
Rich has three runs under 2:07.  Lockhart has the only run under 2:05.  Three have been
under 2:06.  5 have been under 2:07.  9 have been under 2:09.

1600 M	1.  Andrew Shaffer	Richwood
	2.  Evan Childers	Buffalo
	3.  Charlie Drazba	St. Marys
	4.  Caleb Moore		Doddridge
	5.  Derek Bayless	St. Marys
	6.  Marcus Black	Charleston Catholic
Shaffer has the top time in the field by over 4 seconds.  Three have been under 4:40.  Four
have been under 4:41.  Only 5 have been under 4:50.

3200 M	1.  Evan Childers	Buffalo
	2.  Andrew Shaffer	Richwood
	3.  Caleb Moore		Doddridge
	4.  Charlie Drazba	St. Marys
	5.  Marcus Black	Charleston Catholic
	6.  Jordan Whitehair	Doddridge
Childers is the only one to have gone under 10:00 and he's done it three times.  He has the
best time in the field by 13 seconds.  Shaffer only has the fourth best time, but he did run
9:52 last year.  Four have been under 10:10.

110 HH	1.  George Maddox	East Hardy
	2.  Daniel Plaugher	Doddridge
	3.  Dylan McNutt	Williamstown
	4.  Brett Wright	St. Marys
	5.  Jared Dunn		Cameron
	6.  Tyler Zahnow	Bishop Donahue
Maddox has the best FAT time in the field.  He also has a questionable 15.14 converted hand-time.
I haven't seen enough from East Hardy to know for sure.  Plaugher is the only one with a full
series of sub-16's.  Four have been under 16.

300 IH	1.  Daniel Plaugher	Doddridge
	2.  Dylan McNutt	Williamstown
	3.  George Maddox	East Hardy
	4.  Jared Dunn		Cameron
	5.  David Taylor	Richwood
	6.  Tyler Zahnow	Bishop Donahue
Plaugher has the only sub-41 in the field and the only full series of sub-42's.  McNutt and Maddox
have been under 42.  McNutt had the best Regional time.  Those three have been under 42.  Only one
other competitor has been under 43.

4x100 M	1.  Charleston Catholic
	2.  Doddridge
	3.  Williamstown
	4.  Clay-Battelle
	5.  Wheeling Central
	6.  Pendleton
Charleston Catholic can add Will Dobbins (assuming he's healthy) back into the lineup, and that
should make them a fairly solid favorite.  They've run under 45 with their top lineup.  Only
Doddridge has run under 46 amont the remaining field.  However, there are 10 teams that have
run under 47.

4x200 M	1.  Charleston Catholic
	2.  Doddridge
	3.  Williamstown
	4.  Pendleton
	5.  Calhoun
	6.  Pocahontas
Again, Charleston Catholic can add Will Dobbins into the lineup.  They have the best time in the
field even without him, but he would seal the deal.  With him, Charleston Catholic has run under
1:34.  No one else has gone under 1:36.  5 have gone under 1:37.  Pocahontas could take Tanner
Graham out of the 100 and put him in this event and move up as far as fourth.  Without him, they
do indeed risk not placing.

4x400 M	1.  Pocahontas
	2.  St. Marys
	3.  Charleston Catholic
	4.  Williamstown
	5.  Buffalo
	6.  Doddridge
Charleston Catholic might be able to do enough maneuvering to win this event as well.  It would 
require moving Michael Robinson off the 4x100 or 4x200, though, and putting those events back at
risk.  Simply adding Will Dobbins helps immensely.  Pocahontas has the only other run under 3:40.
St. Marys can possibly hit in the 3:36 range, which could be enough to win it.  Charleston Catholic
and Doddridge will have to help each other out in the first heat.

4x800 M	1.  St. Marys
	2.  Buffalo
	3.  Williamstown
	4.  Doddridge
	5.  Charleston Catholic
	6.  Pocahontas
Buffalo has the best time and seems to have the upper edge, but St. Marys just beat them at the
Regional without their complete lineup.  St. Marys adds Charlie Drazba to the lineup at the State
Meet and takes a very close battle.  Williamstown hasn't been as fast as Doddridge so far, but
they have the horses to run under 8:40.  Charleston Catholic can again do some maneuvering, but
I don't know if it's enough to crack the top 4.  It might be.

Shuttle	1.  Doddridge
	2.  St. Marys
	3.  Williamstown
	4.  Charleston Catholic
	5.  Buffalo
	6.  Richwood
Doddridge has the best time in the field and is the only team with a pair of sub 63's.  St. Marys
had the best Regional time of the group.  Williamstown only has the 6th best time, but they ran
1:03.92 at the Regional without Dylan McNutt.  I'm guessing they swap him out of the 4x200 and use
him in the Shuttles.  6 teams have been under 1:04.  9 have been under 1:05.  East Hardy could be
dangerous if they can teach Joshua Parker how to hurdle between Regional and State.

H Jump	1.  Anthony Aviles	Gilmer
	2.  Issac Gaines	South Harrison
	3.  Brett Wright	St. Marys
	4.  Dillon Muhly-Alexander Doddridge
	5.  Tyler Allen		Buffalo
	6.  David Beiter	Bishop Donahue
Aviles and Gaines are the only ones with multiple 6'2 jumps.  Wright has the only 6'4 jump in the
field.  Five have cleared 6'0.  7 have cleared 5'10.

P Vault	1.  Alex Marchetti	Williamstown
	2.  Keiffer Reed	Charleston Catholic
	3.  Cam Kinder		Gilmer
	4.  Daniel Scott	Wheeling Central
	5.  Franklin Crouch	Doddridge
	6.  Mitchell Goertler	Williamstown
Marchetti and Reed have cleared 14'0.  Marchetti has a slightly better overall series.  Kinder has
battled injury all season and vaulted at the Regional for the first time since April 9th.  He cleared
13'0.  Scott has also cleared 13'0.

L Jump	1.  Andrew Humphrey	Mount Hope
	2.  John Paul Tupta	Charleston Catholic
	3.  Joshua Parker	East Hardy
	4.  Jonathan Gore	Fayetteville
	5.  Aaron Jones		Williamstown
	6.  Dylan Fetty		St. Marys
What a mess.  7 have been over 20'.  Only Humphrey and Tupta have done it twice.  10 have at least
two 19' jumps.  There's really no favorites or underdogs here.  Who's jumping well on that day
will be all that matters.

Shot	1.  Aaron Schneid	Wheeling Central
	2.  Hayden Ullman	St. Marys
	3.  Spencer Mason	Valley Wetzel
	4.  Evan Rose		Pocahontas
	5.  Evan Smith		Williamstown
	6.  Robert Stump	Gilmer
The top three have season best throws of 49'10, 49'9, and 49'8, respectively.  All three have thrown
over 49' at least twice, but only Schneid has done it 3 times.  Ullman has a better overall series
than Mason.  Rose and Smith have both thrown over 45 multiple times.  No one else has been over 43'.

Discus	1.  Aaron Schneid	Wheeling Central
	2.  Evan Rose		Pocahontas
	3.  Spencer Mason	Valley Wetzel
	4.  Jimmy Jemison	St. Marys
	5.  Alex Myers		Wirt
	6.  Hayden Ullman	St. Marys
Schneid has the best throw in the field by over 14'.  His # 5 throw is almost 3' better than anyone
else's best.  Four have been over 130'.  8 have been over 120'.

High Point Predictions
1.  Daniel Plaugher	Doddridge		26.50
2.  Andrew Shaffer	Richwood		24
3.  Evan Childers	Buffalo			21
4.  Aaron Schneid	Wheeling Central	20
5.  Tanner Graham	Pocahontas		18.50