AAA Girls Individual Predictions

Individual Predictions

100 M	1. Ciara Chic		Riverside
	2. Milan Cary		Capital
	3. Lindsey Stewat	Hampshire
	4. Jenny Rayburn	Hurricane
	5. Kris Morris		Jefferson
	6. Dawn Dobbs		Fairmont Senior

	Anyone but Chic would be an upset in this event as she has
	her eyes on the state record.  Defending champion Cary should
	be able to hold off the rest of the field.  Morris's slight
	injury makes her vulnerable and she and Dobbs will have to 
	hold off about 5 other strong contenders to keep their place 
	in line.

200M	1. Ciara Chic		Riverside
	2. Milan Cary		Capital
	3. Lindsey Stewart	Hampshire	
	4. Jenny Rayburn	Hurricane
	5. Te' Peters		Martinsburg
	6. Nikki Painter	Buckhannon Upshur
	
	Chic is again the strong favorite with a chance at the state
	record with the top 4 solidly ahead of the rest of the field.  
	Peters and Painter get a nod over the Cassie Bishop (the only
	other runner with a reported sub 27 clocking) and a rapidly
	improving Terri Young.  
	
400M	1. Ciara Chic		Riverside
	2. Jennifer Davis	Hampshire
	3. Stephanie Eastman	Roane
	4. Carrie Barrick	Keyser
	5. Amanda Hall		Fairmont Senior
	6. Shannon Tobias	Martinsburg

	Chic should again come out on top and with a little push from Davis
	has an outside shot at this state record as well.  Davis (5) and
	Eastman (2) are the only other runners with multiple sub 60 times 
	this year.  Barrick (3rd last year as well as sporting a time already
	in the 59's this year) gets the nod over defending champion Hall.  
	The final 2 positions in this event are wide open with no less than
	7 girls having an excellent shot of taking the positions.  Include among 
	those contenders are Wharton and Quinlan who each placed in last years
	state meet.

800M	1. Giti Farudi		University	
	2. Holly Hunter		East Fairmont
	3. Jennifer Davis	Hampshire
	4. Stephanie Eastman	Roane
	5. Susan Davis		Hampshire
	6. Amanda Hall		Fairmont Senior

	The 800 marks the 4th straight event where we pick against the 
	defending AAA girls champion.  Farudi will be fresher than Hunter who
	will have already ran the 4x800, 1600 and 3200 and has ran the only (2)
	recorded times under 2:20 in the state this year.  Her best time this 
	year is within a half second of Hunter's 98 record.  Jennifer Davis and 
	Eastman will use their 400 speed to hold off twin sister Susan Davis
	and Amanda Hall.  Tobias and Wharton also have the speed and credentials
	to slip into the scoring column if any of the above should falter.

1600M	1. Holly Hunter		East Fairmont
	2. Susan Davis		Hampshire
	3. Sarah Corley		Fairmont Senior
	4. Amanda Conrad	East Fairmont
	5. Rachel Fox		Parkersburg South
	6. Ryann Metheny	Elkins
	
	Hunter and Davis are well ahead of the field with Hunter securing the 
	top spot by virtue of better times and well as better speed in the 800
	Seasoned Corley should take 3rd.  Conrad gets the nod over Fox after 
	defeating her in regionals.  Metheny will need to run well to stay ahead 
	of Cantrell and Carden.  

3200M	1. Holly Hunter		East Fairmont
	2. Susan Davis		Hampshire
	3. Jennifer Davis	Hampshire
	4. Sarah Corley		Fairmont Senior
	5. Stephanie Hatfield	Robert C Byrd
	6. Ryann Metheny	Elkins
 
	This race appears to be broken up in twosomes with Hunter and Susan Davis 
	again ahead of the field.  That pair will be followed by Jennifer Davis 
	and Sarah Coley (around 15 seconds back) and then Hatfield and Metheny
	another 30 seconds back.  If anyone falters, Cantrell appears to the next
	most likely followed by Stover.	

110H	1. Erica Reese		Capital
	2. Rebecca Ripoli	Fairmont Senior
	3. Jennifer Boyer	Jefferson
	4. Brianna Jones	Parkersburg
	5. Kimba Hissom		Huntington
	6. Nancy Regalbuto	Hedgesville
	
	Reese gets the nod over Ripoli with her top 5 times being better than 
	Ripoli's top times.  If either stumble, Boyer will be ready to move up.
	Jones and Hissom have the next best times with Hissom clocking the better
	times in the last few weeks.  A slightly injured Regalbuto will have to 
	hold off a strong challenge by Andi Rose with Regalbuto getting the nod 
	due to a better regional showing.
 
300H	1. Rebecca Ripoli	Fairmont Senior
	2. Jennifer Boyer	Jefferson
	3. Erica Reese		Capital
	4. Andi Rose		Wheeling Park
	5. Kimba Hissom		Huntington
	6. Briana Jones		Parkersburg
 
	This event was probably the most debated event of the AAA Girls.  No less
	than 10 hurdlers have a real shot at placing.  Defending Champion Ripoli
	should repeat but Boyer will push her.  After that, things get fuzzy.  Reese
	was placed 3rd due to her superior speed and the all around Rose placed 
	4th on her rapidly improving times.  Hissom (2nd in state last year) was 
	picked next for her consistency with Jones rounding out the places.  If Jones
	is on, she could easily go as high as 3rd.  Regalbuto's slight injury has
	placed her along with Jade Barney (4th last year) in the "slow" heat.  The
	fact that those two are together in the "slow" heat should help offset not 
	being in the hot heat.  Regalbuto has the 3rd fastest clocking in the state 
	this year in this event so if she's fully healthy and gets a good push in 
	her heat, she could challenge everyone on the list.  Wharton and Cox also
	have the ability to score in this tough field.

4x100	1. Jefferson
	2. Martinsburg
	3. Huntington
	4. Capital
	5. Parkersburg
	6. East Fairmont
	
	Jefferson has the states best two times this year and topped all regional
	qualifers.  Martinsburg has the only other sub 51 time in the state this 	
	year and looks good for second.  Huntington and Capital have come in under
	52 with Huntington doing it twice and having the 2nd best regional mark.  
	Parkersburg and East Fairmont should take the final two spots with Parkersburg
	getting the nod for a head to head victory over East Fairmont in the regionals.
	Neither should look over their shoulder because Chic of Riverside will be
	closing like a freight train.  Elkins also has a chance to slip in here.

4x200	1. Capital 
	2. Jefferson
	3. Huntington
	4. Morgantown
	5. Parkersburg South
	6. Martinsburg

	Capital has clocked 5 of the 6 fastest times in the state this year and their
	best is nearly 1.5 seconds better than the next best team.  Jefferson is the
	only other team to clock under 1:49 (with two 1:47's),  Huntington and 
	Morgantown have also gone under 1:50 with Huntington being the more consistent
	of the two.  Parkersburg South and Martinsburg will fill out the positions 
	(with South getting the nod based on regional times) but not without a battle 
	from University and a host of others.
	
4x400	1. Buckhannon Upshur
	2. Hedgesville
	3. Fairmont Senior
	4. Roane
	5. Martinsburg
	6. Parkersburg South

	This was another highly debated event with at least 10 teams having the ability
	to place.  Buckhannon Upshur and Hedgesville seem to be solid picks for first
	and second due to the fact that they have several very talented runners that
	have ran the open 400 well.  Additionally, none of their runners will have
	had to run a grueling 800 in the sun approximately an hour before the final
	event is set to begin.  Fairmont Senior, Martinsburg and Roane (and likely South)
	will have all had runners going all out to place in the 800 that may take a 
	little out of their 400 potential.  On the other hand, these teams also faced
	the same situation in regionals and fared well.  Roane will have to do it from
	the slow heat but will have University to push them.  Morgantown, Hurricane,
	Elkins and University could also score (and possibly score high). 
	
4x800	1. East Fairmont
	2. Fairmont Senior
	3. Buckhanon Upshur
	4. Martinsburg
	5. Hedgesville
	6. Preston

	East Fairmont has posted the years two best times and has a bead on the top
	spot.  Fairmont Senior has the talent to make a run at them but will likely
	fall just a litte short.  Buckhannon Upshur and Martinsburg come next on the
	virtue of their regional times followed closely by Hedgesville.  Preston will
	make the most of their only chance to score and take the final spot.  
	Parkersburg, Brooke and Huntington could also score in this event.

Shuttle	1. Parkersburg South
	2. Parkersburg
	3. Capital
	4. Huntington
	5. Fairmont Senior
	6. Martinsburg

	The Parkersburg schools (who always seem to be at the top in this event) will
	continue last year's struggle for the top.  South gets the nod on the basis 
	of their regional win, top time and more times under 1:06.  Capital could 
	also factor in this race with the second best time in the state this year 
	but was placed behind Parkersburg due to Parkersburg's greater consistency.
	Huntington comes in next, nearly two seconds behind 3rd place but a full
	half second in front of nearest next competitor.  Fairmont Senior and 
	Martinsburg are nearly a second better than 7th place with Senior picked 5th
	on the virtue of their regional time.

H Jump	1. Roxanne Ward		Parkersburg
	2. Erica Reese		Capital
	3. Miranda Dunn		Parkersburg South
	4. Britney Amodio	Robert C Byrd
	5. Nancy Regalbuto	Hedgesville
	6. Katie Kilcollin	Greenbrier East
 
	Ward's 5'6 regional jump gave her the best mark this year and she also has 
	at least four other jumps of 5'2 or greater.  Reese is the only other jumper
	to clear 5'4 at least twice.  Dunn has cleared 5'2 twice and has been jumping
	well recently.  Amodio has cleared 5'4 but a 4'10 regional shows she is 
	vulnerable to an off day.  Regalbuto is the only other jumper that has cleared
	over 5'0 multiple times.  Kilcollin has cleared 5'2 this year and has shown
	the ability to survive in states with a 6th place showing last year.  Nikki
	Daniel, Christy Mallett and Jamie Wilcox have also gone over 5'0. 

L Jump	1. Milan Cary		Capital
	2. Roxanne Ward		Parkersburg
	3. Alisha Hopkins	Oak Hill
	4. Terri Young		Cabell Midland
	5. Danyell Garner	Logan
	6. Lindsey Stewart	Hampshire

	Cary has 4 of the best 5 leaps in class AAA this year including the only one
	over 18'.  Defending champion Ward has cleard 17 twice.  Hopkins has the only
	other 17+ mark and finished 3rd in the state last year.  Young only began to
	jump recently had has steadily improved.  Garner gets the edge over last years
	runner up Stewart on the basis that the average of her best 3 jumps is higher.
	Rose, Wade and Snyder have also cleared 16' this year and could place if 
	any of the above fail to get their steps down.

P Vault	1. Mary Beth Held	Parkersburg
	2. Ashley Dunn		Parkersburg South
	3. Darcy Thompson	Fairmont Senior
	4. Angela Wallace	Parkersburg
	5. Kristin Hustead	Wheeling Park
	6. Salina Coleman	Parkersburg South
	
	Held was the first too clear 10'0 and the only to clear 10'6 (5 times).  Dunn
	is the only other vaulter to hit 10'0 multiple(3) times.  Thompson of Fairmont
	Senior is the defending champion and her 10'0 in regions serves notice that
	she can contend again.  Wallace has cleared 8'6 more than any other remaining
	competitor.  Hustead has been jumping well lately and she and Coleman are the
	only other jumpers with multiple jumps 8'6 or higher.  Patton of University
	has cleared 9'0 but has no other reported jumps over 8'0.  Stewart (Tied 3rd last 
	year) and Shaffer have also gone over 8'0.
	
Discus	1. Ilora Cipolat	Woodrow Wilson
	2. Allison Burner	Parkersburg
	3. Lisa Cooper		Nitro
	4. Jodi Curran		Keyser
	5. Tosha Hedges		Martinsburg
	6. Shavana Jones	Hurricane

	Cipolat has the divisions best mark this year and has 4 throws of 117 or 
	greater.  Burner (3rd last year) is the only other thrower with more than 
	1 throw over 117 (2). 	Cooper has shown the ability to consistently throw 
	over 110.  Curran has the second best mark in the division this year but 
	her consistency isn't quite that of Cooper or Burner.  Hedges placed 4th in
	the state last year but has yet to unleash a high ranking throw.  Her 
	strength though is hard to ignore and if she gets everything together on a 
	a throw, could steal 1st place.  Jones finishes out the order and has also
	thrown consistently this year.  Candace Burge of Huntington had an excellent
	regional throw and could place but has nothing to back that throw up.  Erin
	Bartlett and Deidra Davis have also gone over 110'.  Finally, Anna Corbin
	has thrown more consistently than those ahead of her and could place if 
	others are a little off.    

Shot	1. Roxanne Ward		Parkersburg
	2. Jodi Curran		Keyser
	3. Allison Burner	Parkersburg
	4. Tosha Hedges		Martinsburg
	5. Ashley Bennett	Fairmont Senior
	6. Lisa Cooper		Nitro

	Ward is the only thrower to top 39' (3 times) and placed 3rd in the state
	last year.  Curran has topped 38' twice and 37' two more times.  Consistent
	Burner (4th in states last year) has topped 37' four times.  Hedges has
	gone over 38' but has only 1 other throw over 37'.  Bennett and Cooper both
	can throw around 36' with Bennett getting there more often.  Candace Burge
	has thrown 37' but has only a 33' toss to back it up.  

High Point Predicitons
1. Holly Hunter		East Fairmont		30.5
2. Ciara Chic		Riverside		30
T3.Milan Cary		Capital			28.5
T3.Roxanne Ward		Parkersburg		28.5
5. Erica Reese		Capital			25.5