Remember, this is only how it looks from the rankings heading into the regionals. This is not a prediction based on any analysis of races held during the season. If a team has fewer than five ranked runners, it is assumed that their first unranked runner would finish a certain number of places behind the last ranked runner, their second unranked runner would another number of places behind the last ranked runner, etc. Runners run above and below their ranking in every meet, and the Regionals will be no different.
Region I: This Region will advance 3 teams. It features the top 3 of the top 4 ranked teams in Class AA, and those three should secure the spots with Elkins looking at 1st and Grafton and Williamstown battling for the 2nd spot. I currently have Grafton taking that spot over Williamstown. The Top 5 ranked runners that are not on one of the expected advancing teams are East Fairmont's Nathaniel Stuck (#8), East Fairmont's Donovan Childs (#12), Wheeling Central's Michael Hutnick (#17), Oak Glen's Boden Konchar (#20), and East Fairmont's (#25). There is just one runner within 60 points of those 5 that is not on an expected advancing team. That is East Fairmont's Bryler Wilson (#28). There are 30 ranked runners in Region I.
Region II: This Region will advance 3 teams. Frankfort should easily take the top spot. Keyser looks like they have a small edge for the 2nd spot. Liberty Harrison appears to have the edge for the 3rd spot. However, there are 4 other teams that could jump into these spots on the right day. The Top 5 ranked runners that are not on one of the 3 expected advancing teams are Hampshire's Wyatt Thorne (#4), Lincoln's Adrian Bott (#5), Lewis County's Brody Skinner (#9), Hampshire's Richard Hudson (#11), and Lewis County's Cooper Burkhammer (#12). Runners within 60 points of those 5 that are not on an expected advancing team are Berkeley Springs' L.J. Sealey (#13) and Hampshire's Ethan Richman (#14). Region II has 34 ranked runners.
Region III: This Region will advance 3 team.s Shady Spring should have the top spot firmly in control. PikeView should hold the 2nd spot, but Tyler Huffman has missed the last couple meets. His status is unknown. Nicholas looks to have a slight edge for the 3rd spot, but by just 5 points over Clay. That could go either way. The Power Rankings say Nicholas County. A quick look at seasonal performances says maybe it should be Clay. I'll leave it with the Power Rankings. The Top 5 ranked runners that are not on an expected advancing team are Clay County's Sawyer Dobbbins (#7), Westside's Brody Lester (#8), Liberty Raleigh's (#12), Clay County's Kane Nida (#14), and James Monroe's Wyatt Lilly (#17). Runners within 60 points of those 5 that are not on an expected advancing team are James Monroe's Dapry Broyles (#19), Clay County's Kaden Fitzwater (#21), and James Monroe's Skyler Broyles (#22). There are 24 ranked runners in Region III.
Region IV: This Region will advance 3 teams. Wayne looks like it has a slight advantage over Buffalo for the top spot. However, their top ranked runner, Dakota Henderson, has not competed since September 18th. If he's out, Buffalo becomes the favorite. Herbert Hoover appears to have the advantage for the 3rd position. There are just 4 ranked runners that are not on one of the expected advancing teams. They are Point Pleasant's Wyatt Kirkpatrick (#2), Point Pleasant's Cael Taylor (#10), Scott's Brayden Lane (#12), and Poca's Zack Miller (#14). According to times on Athletic.net, the next one in line would be Poca's Jacob Lemle. There are 16 ranked runners in Region IV.