Meet: Class AAA Girls State Meet Predictions
Location: Cabell Midland High School
Date: To be held October 31, 2020
Predicted Class AAA Girls Team Results
Morgantown will be looking to repeat as champion, and University will be
looking to make a run at it. With Monongalia County out of commission for
much of the season, there is limited data on both. But there is enough
to know that they're the favorites. I have Morgantown winning it fairly
handily, aided largely by the really strong Regional performance and the
return of Lea Hatcher, who ran her first race of the season at the Regional.
I have a close battle for 3rd, and I ended up with Woodrow Wilson taking the
spot by just 6 points over Ripley. Not too far back are Preston and Hurricane.
Any of those four taking that 3rd spot would not be a big surprise. I think
there's a pretty big gap back to the rest of the field.
1. Morgantown 47
2. University 85
3. Woodrow Wilson 109
4. Ripley 115
5. Preston 134
6. Hurricane 136
7. Cabell Midland 183
8. Spring Mills 214
9. George Washington 218
10. Jefferson 248
11. Hampshire 277
12. Greenbrier East 326
Predicted Class AAA Girls Top 25
Irene Riggs has been really impressive in limited action. She's the clear favorite
having knocked off Ellie Hosaflook by over 30 seconds in a head-to-head matchup.
Hosaflook has the easy nod for 2nd. Caroline Kirby has been strong and consistent
and gets the 3rd place spot. Mia Murray slides up to the 4th spot on an excellent
Regional run. Audrey Hall holds the 5th spot and has been consistently good. Allie
Martin is slotted into the 6th position and had her best run of the season at the
Regional. I moved Amelia Summers into the 7th spot. She's been really good in all
but the OVAC Meet, running not too distantly from Murray. I moved Lea Hatcher up into
the 8th spot because...well...there was no way I was leaving her out of this. She had
the 10th best Regional Run in the filed, and I'm figuring another week moves her up
even more. For all I know, she cruised the Regional and will unleash at the State Meet.
I certainly wouldn't be shocked by a top 5. I really started struggling with placement
after this. I dropped Zara Zervos into the 9th spot. She's been a bit up and down, so
moving up into the top 7 or out of the top 20 are both quite reasonable. I put Charlotte
McGinnis into the 10th spot. She didn't run at the Regional, but I'm assuming she'll be
back for the State Meet and in good health. There are quite a few that could easily lay
claim to a top 10 spot.
The predicted top 25 are as follows. If you want to know where you are picked, just
send me an e-mail, and I'll tell you.
Place Score Name Year School
1 1 Riggs, Irene 10 Morgantown
2 2 Hosaflook, Ellie 9 Ripley
3 3 Kirby, Caroline 12 University
4 4 Murray, Mia 9 University
5 5 Hall, Audrey 10 Hurricane
6 6 Martin, Allie 11 Preston
7 7 Summers, Amelia 10 Morgantown
8 8 Hatcher, Lea 11 Morgantown
9 X Zervos, Zara 12 John Marshall
10 9 McGinnis, Charlotte 10 Woodrow Wilson
11 10 Labombard, Addie 11 Jefferson
12 11 Nolan, Abby 10 Preston
13 12 Bora, Asha 11 Hurricane
14 13 McKenna, Tatum 10 Cabell Midland
15 X Grove, Olivia 11 Musselman
16 14 Lindley, Collette 11 Woodrow Wilson
17 15 O'Palko, Jennifer 9 Morgantown
18 16 Lester, Anna 9 Morgantown
19 17 Gump, Madeline 9 Morgantown
20 X Johnson, Dakota 11 Hedgesville
21 X McGivern, Katie 10 Washington
22 18 Davis, Shelby 10 University
23 19 Wilson, Carolina 11 Spring Mills
24 20 Stark, Chloe 11 Preston
25 X Jenkins, Hayley 12 Musselman