Remember, this is only how it looks from the rankings heading into the regionals. This is not a prediction based on any analysis of races held during the season. If a team has fewer than five ranked runners, it is assumed that their first unranked runner would finish three places behind the last ranked runner, their second unranked runner would finish six places behind the last ranked runner, etc. Runners run above and below their ranking in every meet, and the Regionals will be no different. The important thing is that if you have five runners, get them to the starting line. If you have seven, get them to the line. If you only have 3, get them on the line. Your region may be depending on you.
Region I: Two teams will advance from this Region. It's possible that there will only be two complete teams in the field. St. Marys appears to have the edge for the top spot with Ritchie holding the 2nd spot. 10 Individuals will advance. The current top 10 runners are Josey Moore, Erica Davis, Emily Ebert, Andrea Davis, Lillie Law, Bralynn Davis, Caraline Lancaster, Rachel Snedden, Sophie Greenleaf, and Chesnee Williams. There is just one runners within 60 points of the top 10 not on a qualifying team. That isTyler Consolidated's Kashia Brown (12th). There are 15 ranked runners in Region I.
Region II: This Region will also advance two teams. With Doddridge getting the go-ahead to compete, they are the favorite for the top spot. Tucker looks to have pretty solid control of the 2nd position. 10 Individuals will advance. The current top 10 are Lexie Lamb, Jenna Barnett, Maria Bee, Emily Gola, Hailey Keith, Erin Chambers, Kate Falls, Anna Rexrode, Sofia Pancoast, and Katie Hicks. There are no runners within 60 points of the top 10 who are not on an expected advancing team. The closest is Clay-Battelle's Ashley Chisler (12th). There are 12 ranked runners in Region II.
Region III: This Region will advance two teams as well. Charleston Catholic appears to have a firm grip on 1st with Richwood having a solid grip on the 2nd spot. 10 Individuals will advanc. The current top 10 are Baylee Jarrett, Gabbie Custer, Carlee Dillard, Rachel Coffield, Alivia Moffatt, Kelsie Davis, Alexis White, Nadia Flores, Josie Kreitzer, and Kayla Lucas. There are no runners within 60 points of the top 10 who are not on an expected advancing team. There are no other ranked runners who are not on an expected advancing team. There are 12 ranked runners in Region III.
Region IV: This Region will also advance two teams. Williamstown is clearly in charge, and this look at things shows them getting a perfect 15. Ravenswood looks like an easy bet for 2nd. 10 Individuals will advance. The current top 10 are Ella Hesson, Natalie Sawin, Chloe Lightfritz, Brianna Winsett, Lacey Dimit, Reagan Ortiz, Emily Wratchford, Brookelyn Reynolds, Maci Mosser, and Hadleigh McGoskey. Mosser hasn't ran since September 12th, so I don't know if she's available or not. The only runner within 60 points of the top 10 that isn't on an expected advancing team is Calhoun's Savannah Cunningham (12th). There are 16 ranked runners in Region IV.