Remember, this is only how it looks from the rankings heading into the regionals. This is not a prediction based on any analysis of races held during the season. If a team has fewer than five ranked runners, it is assumed that their first unranked runner would finish three places behind the last ranked runner, their second unranked runner would finishe six places behind the last ranked runner, etc. Runners run above and below their ranking in every meet, and the Regionals will be no different. The important thing is that if you have five runners, get them to the starting line. If you have 7, get them to the line. Your region may be depending on you.
Region I: This Region should advance three teams. Morgantown appears to be the class of the field with 6 of the top 10 ranked runners. University looks to have pretty solid control of the 2nd spot. I show Preston in the 3rd position, but with Wheeling Park very much in striking distance. Individually, only 10 will advance, which is again disappointing with the depth of the Region. The current top 10 are Phillip White, Ward Ries, Michael Gharib, Andrew Jones, Andrew Christy, Cole Friend, Mikale Virji, Michael Hoefler, Gideon Temple, and Kevin Donnelly. Runners within 60 points of the top 10 who aren't on an expected advancing team are Wheeling Park's Corbin Rutan (11th), Wheeling Park's Jared Ullom (12th), and Wheeling Park's Michael Harriman (16th). There are 53 ranked runners in Region I. The 20th ranked runner in Region I would be ranked in the top 7 of two other Regions.
Region II: This Region should also advance three teams. I show a close battle between Hampshire and Musselman for the top spot, with Hampshire taking the top spot by 4 points. Jefferson is pretty solidly in 3rd. Indiviually, only 10 will advance. Currently the top 10 are Zane Braithwaite, Bryson Dolly, Asher Personett, Hunter Reed, Nathan Starkey, Andrew Dorsey, Samuel Garrett, Josh Barnes, Travis Hoffman, and Tyler Greer. Runners within 60 points of the top 10 who aren't on an expected advancing team are Washington's Nathan Walker (13th) and Hedgesville's Owen Lehr (14th). There are 29 ranked runners in Region II.
Region III: It looks like this Region will advance three teams. Woodrow Wilson is again at the top of the field. Riverside appears to have the edge for the 2nd spot. George Washington looks to be solidly in the 3rd spot. Individually, it looks 11 will advance from this Region. The current top 11 are Chris Barbera, Jacob Birurakis, Ryan Vaught, Miles Kominsky, Trevor Carson, Matthew Martin, Russell Carroll, Shawn Basham, Ethan Endres, Malachi Crews, and Jonah Stevens. Runners within 60 points of the top 11 that aren't on an expected advancing team are Greenbrier East's Justin Sexton (13th), Princeton's Kevin Tate (14th), and St. Albans' Tanner Ekstrom (15th). There are 27 ranked runners in Region III.
Region IV: This Region should advance three teams. Parkersburg shows a slight advantage over Hurricane for the top spot in this Region. Hurricane's numbers were hindered a bit by their decision to tempo run the MSAC Championships. Cabell Midland is the favorite for the 3rd spot with Parkersburg South hoping to run really well or that someone else screws up. Individually, only 10 will advance, which, like in Region I, is a shame as there is really good depth. The current top 10 are Ian Domenick, Brett Armbruster, Jackson Gibson, Benjamin Lake, Justin Belcher, Will Lemaster, Kerwyn Marshall, Brian Middaugh, Cameron Marks, and Chase Basham. Runners within 60 points of the top 10 who aren't on an expected advancing team are Parkersburg South's Brandon Hardman (12th), Huntington's Pete Burbery (18th), and Huntington's Ben Barber (19th but hasn't ran since 9/30). There are 47 ranked runners in Region IV. The 20th ranked runner in Region IV would be ranked in the top 7 of two other Regions.