Meet: AAA Boys State Meet Predictions
Location: Cabell Midland High School
Date: To be held October 31, 2015
Predicted AAA Boys Team Results
I hope the rest of the divisions aren't as difficult as this one. As always, I've
slotted everyone that I think will be running. Yes, that means, I made some assumptions
about possible changes from Regional lineups to State lineups. If those changes aren't
made, the scores could be quite different. Cabell Midland has exceptional depth. Their
# 7 runner finished 13th last year. It's not out of the question that they could put
6 in the top 10, and possibly 6 in front of University's # 3. Of course, it's also
possible that University could put 4 in before Cabell Midland's # 2. Ultimately,
University will need a stellar performance from their # 5 to take the win. Or Cabell
Midland's crew will need to drop 5-7 places each. I have Midland taking the win by 24.
No one else is really very close to these two. Morgantown looks like a really solid
3rd place. Things get a lot more interesting after that.
1. Cabell Midland 35
2. University 60
3. Morgantown 103
4. Parkersburg 145
5. Winfield 160
6. Woodrow Wilson 187
7. Jefferson 191
8. Hurricane 206
9. George Washington 222
10. Musselman 246
11. Riverside 252
12. Elkins 300
13. Hampshire 310
Predicted Boys AAA Top 25
Seth Edwards is pretty clearly the favorite. The battle for 2nd should be quite
interesting. I went with Alex Minor for 2nd given his two recent wins over Connor
Riley. Riley did beat Minor at the OVAC Championships and has historically ran
exceptionally well at the State Meet. Sheils hasn't ran against either one of them,
but he hasn't been beaten by an in-state runner all season, finishing as the top
dog for Midland in each meet. I feel pretty good about the first four, though the
order is certainly in question. After that...you can put the names from just about
everyone in the top 20 and draw them out randomly. As it was, I went with Josh Minor
for 5th and Nick Salmons for 6th. I moved Geandre Jones up to 7th based on his
late season emergence and this course somewhat favoring the "speed" guys. I put
Jonathan Sandy in 8th and Jonathan Hathaway in 9th. Cabell Midland, outside of
Sheils, has no distinct pecking order, with 4 different guys finishing as their # 2
at some point during the season. I moved Philip White into the 10th spot.
It's really very wide open for those last 6 spots. It will be a lot of fun to watch.
The predicted top 25 is as follows. If you want to know where you are
picked, just send me an e-mail, and I'll tell you.
Pick Score Name Year School
1 1 Edwards, Seth 12 University
2 2 Minor, Alex 12 University
3 3 Riley, Connor 12 Morgantown
4 4 Sheils, Will 12 Cabell Midland
5 5 Minor, Josh 10 Cabell Midland
6 6 Salmons, Nick 12 Cabell Midland
7 7 Jones, Geandre 11 University
8 8 Sandy, Jonathan 12 Geo. Washington
9 9 Hathaway, Jonathan 11 Cabell Midland
10 10 White, Phillip 10 University
11 X Beavers, Daniel 12 Hedgesville
12 11 Jordan, Austin 11 Cabell Midland
13 12 Parlock, Jeremiah 12 Cabell Midland
14 13 Withrow, Aaron 9 Winfield
15 X Greear, Josh 11 So. Charleston
16 X Thomas, Samuel 11 Capital
17 14 Weiford, R.J. 12 Winfield
18 15 Burakis, Jacob 9 Geo. Washington
19 16 Smith, Coy 11 Cabell Midland
20 17 Kennedy, Nick 12 Riverside
21 18 Lemaster, Will 10 Parkersburg
22 X Thorn, Clay 12 John Marshall
23 19 Gullion, John 11 Morgantown
24 20 Cuff, Vitaly 11 Morgantown
25 X Fisher, Dalton 11 Ripley