Meet:  		A-AA Girls State Meet Predictions
Location:	Cabell Midland High School
Date:		To be held November 1, 2014

Predicted A-AA Girls Team Results
This looks like it will be Berkeley Spring's race. I have them winning by 27 points. Philip Barbour does have a shot if they run really well as a group. I don't think anyone else can pull it off. Charleston Catholic gets the nod for 3rd with a very strong front three, but I only have them in that spot by 4 points. Doddridge, Williamstown, East Fairmont, and Frankfort man the next four spots, and really could finish in any order. As is typical in Cross Country, the 3-4-5 runners will likely be the ones that determine the finishing order. If a kid picked 65th can pull off a 40th, it's huge for the team, and it happens every year. Who will do it this year?
1.  Berkeley Springs       52
2.  Philip Barbour         79
3.  Charleston Catholic   127
4.  Doddridge             131
5.  Williamstown          147
6.  East Fairmont         153
7.  Frankfort             161
8.  Oak Glen              174
9.  Nicholas              208
10. PikeView              236
11. Wirt                  256
12. Richwood              306

Predicted A-AA Girls Top 25
This one is quite a mess. There is no clear cut favorite. Early in the season, it looked like Danielle Haynes was the one to beat. Mid-season, Kinsey Reed and Danielle Hodge took over. Julianna Butcher then beat Haynes and Reed in a meet. Alicia Parsons had some rough meets but just finished a strong 2nd at the Regional. Any of these five could take the title and it wouldn't be a shock. In the end, I went with Kierra Hodge for the win, with Danielle Haynes in second. I went with Alicia Parsons in 3rd. Kinsey Reed has struggled the last couple meets and only had the 15th best Regional run in the field. She typically runs very well at Midland, though, and history indicates a strong State Meet performance for her. I dropped Julianna Butcher into the 5th position, but as I said, she knocked off Haynes and Reed at the PVC Championships on 10/14. So, Haynes and Parsons just beat Hodge at the Regional. Hodge beat Parsons badly at the Big 10 Championships. Butcher beat Haynes and Reed soundly at the PVC Championships. Reed beat Haynes soundly at the Allegany meet on 9/30. Hodge nipped Reed at Berkeley Springs on 9/27 with both having a gap on Haynes. Clear as mud, right? That's what I thought. Things get pretty tight after that. I have Hailey Miller in the 6th spot and Kasey McNamara in the 7th position. Either of those could crack the top 5. Miller has done an excellent job coming back from a torn ACL last basketball season and has continually gotten better as the season went along. I put Taylor Treadway in the 8th spot. She's been very steady all season. Olga Hawranick has also had a strong overall season and gets the 9th spot. Lavania LeMasters gets the 10th spot. She's been somewhat inconsistent. She could easily climb up into that top 7 or fall out of the top 15. This one is really very close. The list of reasonable All-State picks goes about 20 deep. The weather will play a role. Who will hold up in the cold and possible rain and snow? And who will fold?


Pick	Score	Name			Year	Team
1	1	Hodge, Kierra		9	Philip Barbour
2	2	Haynes, Danielle	12	Berkeley Spr.
3	X	Parsons, Alicia		10	Grafton     
4	3	Reed, Kinsey		12	Berkeley Spr.
5	4	Butcher, Julianna	11	Frankfort
6	X	Miller, Hailey		12	Ravenswood
7	5	McNamara, Kasey		9	Williamstown
8	X	Treadway, Taylor	12	Ravenswood
9	6	Hawranick, Olga		9	East Fairmont
10	X	LeMasters, Lavania	10	Robert C. Byrd
11	7	Gacek, Hannah		10	Chas. Catholic
12	X	Trowbridge, Taylor	10	North Marion
13	8	Golden, Stephanie	9	Berkeley Spr.
14	X	Sebok, Amelia		11	Sherman     
15	X	Ramirez, Hannah		11	Liberty Harr.
16	X	McLaughlin, Piper	10	Trinity     
17	X	Frame, Logan		12	Braxton   
18	9	Williams, Brianna	10	Philip Barbour
19	X	Reynolds, Amanda	9	Tyler Consol.
20	10	Nolder, Felicity	12	Oak Glen
21	11	Payton, Aidan		11	Nicholas   
22	12	Preston, Lia		10	Chas. Catholic
23	13	Melvin, Jessica		9	Philip Barbour
24	14	Keener, Peyton		11	Chas. Catholic
25	X	Gorrell, Alex		12	St. Marys