Meet: AAA Boys State Meet Predictions
Location: Cabell Midland High School
Date: To be held November 1, 2014
Predicted AAA Boys Team Results
I slotted everyone, and what did I get...a tie. Cabell Midland and University both
ended up at 69 points. Cabell Midland gets the nod on the 6th runner. Cabell
Midland's pack mentality will be their calling card. If the pack moves up together,
it may be over. If the pack fades, they lose. University is stronger on the top end
with the likelihood of 3 runners getting on the podium. Those three obviously have to
do their jobs, but University's fortunes will likely fall on the shoulders of Freshman
Philip White, who had an outstanding Regional run, and Jacob Hough. If White
duplicates his Regional Performance or Hough steps up, University probably wins it.
Cabell Midland has the depth advantage, so if one of their pack falters, they don't
lose much. If one of University's top dogs is off, it really hurts them. I have
Morgantown in the 3rd spot, just 10 points over Hurricane, who will need to have a
much better run than they did at the Regional to crack the top 3.
1. Cabell Midland 69
2. University 69
3. Morgantown 116
4. Hurricane 126
5. Parkersburg 151
6. Musselman 151
7. Elkins 209
8. Capital 220
9. Winfield 237
10. Jefferson 238
11. Ripley 241
12. Hampshire 297
13. Oak Hill 312
Predicted Boys AAA Top 25
Seth Edwards comes in as the favorite having taken the top ranking part-way through
the season. There are several threats, though. Anthony Laurita has been closing
the gap. On 9/24, the gap was 46 seconds. On 10/4, it was 20 seconds. At the
Regional, it was 12 seconds. Shane Rigsby has put down some very good times. I've
dropped him in the 3rd spot. Unfortunately, he didn't get to run against any of the
other big dogs to see a true test of his abilities. He did have the top converted
Regional Performance. Connor Riley was the runner up last year and has a strong resume.
I've slotted him 4th, but he did beat Laurita at the OVAC's. Tristan Harvey has a
history of stepping up at the State Meet, so I've moved him into 5th. Matt Wallace is
tied for the 4th best ranking, but like Rigsby doesn't have a lot of meetings with the
top level. He does, however sport wins over both Rigsby and Harvey. Nick Salmons
leads the Cabell Midland crew with the 7th spot. It's quite conceivable that Cabell
Midland doesn't get anyone in the top 10. It's also conceivable that they get 3. Nic
Cheuvront gets the nod for 8th. He has a pair of wins over Salmons, including a one
second win at the MSAC. I've put Alex Minor in 9th. His Regional run was not strong,
but prior to that, he was the 4th ranked runner. Earlier this year, he topped Edwards
at Bridgeport with a stellar time. I've slotted R.J. Weiford in the final All-State
position. He's ranked 7th, and his Regional Run was the 4th best in the field. He's
definitely a threat to move up.
The predicted top 25 is as follows. If you want to know where you are
picked, just send me an e-mail, and I'll tell you.
Pick Score Name Year School
1 1 Edwards, Seth 11 University
2 2 Laurita, Anthony 12 Morgantown
3 3 Rigsby, Shane 12 Musselman
4 4 Riley, Connor 11 Morgantown
5 5 Harvey, Tristan 12 University
6 6 Wallace, Matt 12 Elkins
7 7 Salmons, Nick 11 Cabell Midland
8 8 Cheuvront, Nic 12 Parkersburg
9 9 Minor, Alex 11 University
10 10 Weiford, R.J. 11 Winfield
11 11 Hallow, Jared 12 Musselman
12 12 Atkinson, Brandon 12 Cabell Midland
13 13 Minor, Josh 9 Cabell Midland
14 14 Henley, Jake 12 Hurricane
15 15 Hughes, Alex 10 Hurricane
16 16 Gillespie, Cody 12 Oak Hill
17 17 Ruhnke, Michael 12 Capital
18 18 Hathaway, Jonathan 10 Cabell Midland
19 19 Smith, Coy 10 Cabell Midland
20 20 White, Phillip 9 University
21 21 Sheils, Will 11 Cabell Midland
22 X Beavers, Daniel 11 Hedgesville
23 22 Jordan, Austin 10 Cabell Midland
24 23 Harmon, Jacob 12 Hurricane
25 24 Wooten, Evan 10 Parkersburg