Remember, this is only how it looks from the rankings heading into the regionals. This is not a prediction based on any analysis of races held during the season. If a team has fewer than five ranked runners, it is assumed that their first unranked runner would finish three to five places behind the last ranked runner, their second unranked runner would finishe six to ten places behind the last ranked runner, etc. Runners run above and below their ranking in every meet, and the Regionals will be no different. The important thing is that if you have five runners, get them to the starting line. Your region may be depending on you.
Region I: This Region should advance four teams with 15 having run complete teams at some point this season. Doddridge appears to have the advantage. I show Williamstown and East Fairmont tied for the 2nd spot. I have North Marion in the 4th spot, but just 2 points ahead of Oak Glen and just 4 points ahead of Braxton. Tyler Consolidated and St. Marys could also factor into the battle. Individually, I project 20 girls to advance from this Region. The current top 20 are Kasey McNamara, Olga Hawranick, Taylor Trowbridge, Amanda Reynolds, Felicity Nolder, Alex Gorrell, Kate Golinsky, Logan Frame, Abby Charles, Allie Robinson, Emma Eickleberry, Bethany McPherson, Megan Carder, Courtney King, Amber Watson, Ryan Wilson, Kayla Hizer, Taylor Mace, Tiara Hunter, and Olivia Arneault. Runners within 60 points of the top 20 that aren't on an expected advancing team that will be fighting for a spot are Clay-Battelle's Hayley Barr (22nd) and Magnolia's Ariel Hostettler (24th). There are 45 ranked runners in Region I.
Region II: This Region should advance three teams. Berkeley Springs appears to have the top spot with Philip Barbour in firm control of the 2nd position. I have Frankfort in the 3rd spot, but by just 3 points over Trinity. Bridgeport shouldn't be ruled out either. Individually, I am projecting 14 girls to advance from this Region. The current top 14 are Kierra Hodge, Danielle Haynes, Kinsey Reed, Julianna Butcher, Alicia Parsons, Lavania LeMasters, Hanna Ramirez, Stephanie Golden, Piper McLaughlin, Brianna Williams, Jessica Melvin, Haleigh Fields, Jennifer Herron, and India Yates. Runners within 60 points of the top 14 that aren't on an expected advancing team that will be fighting for a spot are Tucker's Madison Mullenax (15th), Grafton's Hanna Louzy (18th), Union's Colleena Burdock (19th), Trinity's Abbie Barnett (20th), Bridgeport's Savannah Blythe (21st), and Trinity's Emily Saurborn (22nd). There are 51 ranked runners in Region II.
Region III: This Region should advance two teams. Only 3 teams in the Region have run complete squads at any point this year. PikeView appears to be the top dog in the Region. Richwood is likely to take the 2nd spot. I am projecting that 10 runners will advance from this region. The current top 9 are (I can only give 9 because there are only 9 ranked runners) Amelia Sebok, Adriana Cook, Madison Frame, Alexis Sheets, Amelia Bard, Rebecca Sheets, Katelyn Odle, Kaylin Kessinger, and Sophie Klein. There are no other ranked runners hoping to take an individual spot. Obviously, at least one will. There are 9 ranked runners in Region III.
Region IV: This Region will likely only advance two teams. I only see 4 that have run complete teams during the season. Charleston Catholic appears to have a solid grip on the top spot. Nicholas County looks to have a slight edge for the 2nd spot. Individually, I'm projecting that 10 runners will advance to the State Meet. The current top 10 are Hailey Miller, Taylor Treadway, Hannah Gacek, Sheena Chambers, Lia Preston, Aidan Payton, Peyton Keener, Madison Kelbaugh, Katie Napier, and Taylor Love. Runners within 60points of the top 10 who are not on an expected advancing team that will be trying to jump into an individual position are Wirt's Mary Kerby (11th), Wirt's Lillian Greenleaf (12th), and Scott's Makayla Pritchard (13th). There are 20 ranked runners in Region IV.