Meet: AAA Boys State Meet Predictions
Location: Cabell Midland High School
Date: To be held November 2, 2013
Predicted AAA Boys Team Results
University is a strong favorite, but Cabell Midland showed by their Regional performance that it's
not the foregone conclusion that most thought it was. I still have it as a 33 point gap, but based
on Regional performances alone, it would only be a 20 point margin. If Midland's guys can all
move up 4 or 5 spots, which is entirely possible, we have quite a race. University has the potential
to place 4 on the podium, and if they all run that well, it's over. I have Hurricane and Jefferson
tied for 3rd with Hurricane taking the spot on the tie-breaker.
1. University 59
2. Cabell Midland 92
3. Hurricane 145
4. Jefferson 145
5. Morgantown 165
6. Parkersburg 179
7. Winfield 190
8. Elkins 192
9. Musselman 220
10. Ripley 222
11. Hampshire 239
12. George Washington 252
13. Capital 279
Predicted Boys AAA Top 25
Matthew Brafford is the prohibitive favorite, having run several stellar races during the season, including
a course record performance at the Chick-Fil-A Invitational, topping the in-State course record of Justin
Simpson, who was a Footlocker qualifier that year and the "anyone" course record of Wes Smith who finished
2nd at Footlocker Nationals that year. Andrew Milliron gets the nod for 2nd with a strong series of runs.
Things actually get very messy after the top two. I've slotted Seth Edwards and Andy Paladino in 3rd and
4th. Their ranking ties them for 7th, but they've had several meets in which they were the only WV team.
I've place Levi Snedegar in 5th. He's only run in 4 meets, which doesn't allow for much comparison. I've
put Jackson Jacobs in 6th and Shane Rigsby in 7th. They're pretty closely matched. They might both be
better served by a more challenging course. Connor Riley beat Paladino at the Regional meet and asserted
himself as a factor in the battle. I've dropped him into the 8th position. Austin Hamrick actually comes
in ranked 3rd. He's another that would likely benefit from a more challenging course. He ran on several
challenging courses during the season, and while it may seem counterintuitive, it's easier for a good runner
to raise his ranking on tough courses. Nick Salmons turned in an excellent Regional and will be on his
home course. I struggled a lot with these, as the ability to crack the top 10 goes about 20 deep.
The predicted top 25 is as follows. If you want to know where you are
picked, just send me an e-mail, and I'll tell you.
Pick Score Name Year Team
1 1 Brafford, Matthew 12 Geo. Washington
2 2 Milliron, Andrew 12 Jefferson
3 3 Edwards, Seth 10 University
4 4 Paladino, Andy 12 University
5 X Snedegar, Levi 12 Greenbrier East
6 5 Jacobs, Jackson 12 Jefferson
7 6 Rigsby, Shane 11 Musselman
8 7 Riley, Connor 10 Morgantown
9 8 Hamrick, Austin 12 Elkins
10 9 Salmons, Nick 10 Cabell Midland
11 10 Weiford, R.J. 10 Winfield
12 11 Wallace, Matt 11 Elkins
13 X Radabaugh, Colin 12 Preston
14 12 Minor, Alex 10 University
15 13 Cheuvront, Nic 11 Parkersburg
16 14 Laurita, Anthony 11 Morgantown
17 15 Henley, Jake 11 Hurricane
18 X Schrimp, Albert 12 Wheeling Park
19 16 Harvey, Tristan 11 University
20 X Gillespie, Cody 11 Oak Hill
21 17 Atkinson, Brandon 11 Cabell Midland
22 18 Feezle, Casey 12 Hampshire
23 19 Harmon, Jacob 11 Hurricane
24 20 Hathaway, Jonathan 9 Cabell Midland
25 21 Adkins, Hunter 12 Cabell Midland